Prevention

Most of the work happens
before the wind arrives.

A payout covers what broke. An alert keeps the rest standing. Every policy comes with forecasts read on your cell, against your strike.

Gulf Coast · 27.95°N 82.46°W14:32 EDTGrid · 10 × 10 km · 1,892 cellsSettled · paid T+41 h
IdleWatched · alertedTriggered · paid
IdleWatched · alertedTriggered · paid

Alert sent · T−36 h · 214 policyholders · forecast peak 164–178 km/h

(01) The 72 hours

Four moves,
timed to the forecast.

Pick a site. Each alert comes with the moves that operators like you usually make, at the hour they make them.

Warehouse

Farm

Venue

≈ $31,400

Loss avoided

Now · T−72 h

Landfall

T−72 h

Watch: your cell enters the forecast cone

T−36 h

Alert sent · stock lifted above 1.2 m

T−12 h

Shutters closed, generator fuelled

T−2 h

Staff sent home

Warehouse

Farm

Venue

≈ $31,400

Loss avoided

Now · T−72 h

Landfall

T−72 h

Watch: your cell enters the forecast cone

T−36 h

Alert sent · stock lifted above 1.2 m

T−12 h

Shutters closed, generator fuelled

T−2 h

Staff sent home

(02) Anatomy of an alert

One message,
five lines that matter.

Tripline · forecast alert

25 Sep · 02:24 EDT

01

Alert · T−36 h · Cell FL-0417

02

Forecast peak 164–178 km/h

03

Probability above strike 68 %

04

Recommended: lift stock above 1.2 m

05

Channels: SMS, email, broker

01

Which cell, and how long before the forecast peak.

02

The range the models agree on for your cell, not the region.

03

How likely the reading crosses your 150 km/h strike.

04

One concrete move for your kind of site.

05

Sent to every contact on your schedule, and to your broker.

(03) Lead times by peril

Some perils warn early.
One never does.

Lead time is the median gap between the first alert and the forecast peak in the last three seasons.

Wind

36 h

Flood level

72 h

Rainfall

24 h

Heat

7 days

Flight delay

3 h

Earthquake

None · payout only

(04) Losses avoided

What three alerts
were worth.

Cold-chain warehouse · Tampa

Cold-chain warehouse · Tampa

Lifted 340 pallets above 1.2 m at T−36 h

Lifted 340 pallets above 1.2 m at T−36 h

≈ $31,400

≈ $31,400

Reported by policyholder

Reported by policyholder

Citrus grower · Polk County

Citrus grower · Polk County

Brought harvest forward four days at T−5 days

Brought harvest forward four days at T−5 days

≈ $18,900

≈ $18,900

Reported by policyholder

Reported by policyholder

Open-air venue · St. Petersburg

Open-air venue · St. Petersburg

Moved a 2,000-seat concert indoors at T−48 h

Moved a 2,000-seat concert indoors at T−48 h

≈ $46,200

≈ $46,200

Reported by policyholder

Reported by policyholder

Questions

Alerts, credits
and what they cost.

What is a prevention alert?

A message sent to the contacts on your schedule when a forecast puts your cell on a path to cross a tier. It carries the cell, the forecast reading, your strike and a short list of what other operators usually do. In the demo storm, 214 policyholders were alerted 36 hours before landfall.

What is a prevention alert?

A message sent to the contacts on your schedule when a forecast puts your cell on a path to cross a tier. It carries the cell, the forecast reading, your strike and a short list of what other operators usually do. In the demo storm, 214 policyholders were alerted 36 hours before landfall.

Does acting on an alert change my premium or my payment?

It never changes a payment. It can lower your next premium: two logged actions in a policy year take 8 % off the renewal, whether the storm hit or not. Ignoring an alert never raises a premium. The alert is included in every policy because a payment helps less than a loss that did not happen.

Does acting on an alert change my premium or my payment?

It never changes a payment. It can lower your next premium: two logged actions in a policy year take 8 % off the renewal, whether the storm hit or not. Ignoring an alert never raises a premium. The alert is included in every policy because a payment helps less than a loss that did not happen.

How early can you warn me?

It depends on the peril. A named storm can be seen about 36 hours ahead, a river flood up to 72, a heat wave around seven days, a delayed flight a few hours, and an earthquake not at all. For earthquakes the notice follows the event within minutes and carries the checklist for the first hour.

How early can you warn me?

It depends on the peril. A named storm can be seen about 36 hours ahead, a river flood up to 72, a heat wave around seven days, a delayed flight a few hours, and an earthquake not at all. For earthquakes the notice follows the event within minutes and carries the checklist for the first hour.

How is the price set?

We replay ten to thirty years of readings for your cell against the strike and exit you choose, count how often each tier would have paid, and add our costs and a margin for capital. A lower strike pays more often and costs more. The quote shows the tier frequencies, so you can see what you are paying for.

How is the price set?

We replay ten to thirty years of readings for your cell against the strike and exit you choose, count how often each tier would have paid, and add our costs and a margin for capital. A lower strike pays more often and costs more. The quote shows the tier frequencies, so you can see what you are paying for.

Next step

Want alerts on your cell?
Start with the address.

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